The Yearlong drop in global equities that began with a selloff in the energy sector has officially become a full market "bear" Thursday.
Defination a / Bear Market Bull:
a cyclical bull market requires a 30% increase in the DJIA after 50 calendar days or up 13% after 155 calendar days. Reversals 30% in Value Line Geometric Index since 1965 are also eligible. A bear market cycle requires a 30% drop in the DJIA after 50 calendar days, or a decrease of 13% after 145 calendar days. Reversals Index Value Line Geometric are also eligible. "" Bullish and bearish markets are measured at the peak and trough dates, thus both the criteria of time and prices must be adhered to the tip and trough dates.
provided by Ned Davis Research
by the numbers:
- [1945009pertes] rout this week in financial shares extended in the gauge in the wider world since - 20% (market MSCI All-Country world Index) and marks the greatest retirement risk from the debt crisis in Europe there are five years.
- All 10 major groups in the MSCI All-Country decreased since the index hit a peak in May 2015 with financial companies, consumer discretionary and technology stocks adding on losses in 2016.
- the S & P 500 lost -11% in 2016, compared to the decrease of at least -18% in actions German and the Euro Stoxx 50.
- in Asia, the Shanghai composite index down -22% over the year and Hong Kong's Hang Seng index deleted -15% .
- stocks have been pounded by all of China's slowdown to the selloff in oil and rising US interest rates, sending them to the worst start to a year on record
- more $ 8 trillion deleted global equities this year.
- In 2011, the MSCI gauge fell more -24% between May and October as European sovereign debt crisis raged and S & P stripped the US of its rating AAA credit.
- In the US, the Nasdaq Composite index dropped -18% since July / 2015 and the index S & P 500 is about 125 points its own bear market.
- Every industry has decreased since last year's record with declines exceeding -25% in financials and -30% in the energy and materials first.
- Thursday, the VIX traded above 30 for the second time this year.
- negative interest rates helped world stocks enter a bear market, sent the cost of protection against corporate defaults soaring and prompted investors to havens such as US Treasuries and gold.
- US bonds are now indicating the slowest inflation since May 09 stack of investor haven assets.
- US Ten-year notes provide fell -30bps in a week and is in touching distance of record lows ( + 1.62% ).
- The fixed market for US income is pricing in more Fed hikes this year.
- With the season of the US halfway Q4 earnings fact, just 52% companies in the growth of reported earnings S & P 500.
- With companies energy and materials stocks leading the decline, except in three areas have lower profits.
- It is estimated that US corporate profits fell 4.5% in Q4, and is expected to drop another -6.3% in the current period.
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