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GBPUSD – Massive Resistance Lies Ahead

GBPUSD – Massive Resistance Lies Ahead

Sterling was the main motto highest achievement in the last month, but after a strong post-election rally, he can begin lose a little steam against the dollar.

heatmap

cable is about to face a huge test of his more long-term strength to approach a group of support and resistance levels and previous 233 days simple moving average.

again, this level marks the 50% retracement of the entire sell-off cable which began there nearly a year.
gbpusd weekly

As the pair approaches that level, both the stochastic and MACD histogram on the daily chart suggests that the rally could lose some momentum. I would not say the bearish divergence is complete at this point, but it certainly looks like it will be. A bearish divergence would also not guarantee that a reversal is occurring now, just that it may occur when the momentum is lost.

For now, I have not seen a real reversal signal and that can not happen until it reaches the 1.5780 - 1.5880 range. If I see a reversal pattern around this area, like a double top, head and shoulders, or even a single or double candlestick formation, like a shooting star or bearish engulfing pattern, I expect to see a rebound off this level.

This could suggest that the rally more long-term dollar is ready to resume, after a correction than a month. An early sign of what could come April 29 peaks being broken, or better 5 May low. Here are below a lower break of nearly five years last month would provide further confirmation.

A break above the region of 1.5780 to 1.5880 would be very bullish in my opinion, with the next resistance level coming around 1.62, the 61.8% of retracement of the previous movement and a new level of support and resistance.

Open Position Ratio

Historical Position Ratios

Furthermore, an overview of client positions and strength of the currency, among many other things, are on the section exchange site laboratories OANDA.


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