Britain entered the last day of campaigning before the referendum on membership of the European Union with opinion polls and financial markets disagree as to the outcome.
Investors accumulate money in paris on a victory for the "Stay" campaign, led by Prime Minister David Cameron, in Thursday's referendum. The pound jumped to five-month high and European stocks posted their biggest gain in three days in almost a year, with the benchmark loan U.K. to erase his monthly decline. Bookmakers have shortened their odds on a "Remain" win.
Polls, meanwhile, say the race is too close to call after a swing towards the campaign "Give" came to a stop apparent last week after the murder of MP Jo Labour Party Cox, a supporter of staying in the EU.
"Rising anticipation that" Remain "will win the vote is the market engine," said John Plassard, a senior-sale equity trader at Mirabaud Securities in Geneva. "Even if the polls are close, the people pay more attention to bookmakers because it was a much better predictor of past referendums. "
the British currency is already trading at levels economists predict that it would reach immediately after a decision to stay in the EU. Sterling rose 0.1 percent to $ 1.4667 at 9:19 in London, while the median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of economists earlier this month was for it to trade in a range of $ 1.45 to $ 1.50 a day after a victory "Remain".
European equities, which plummeted to 1 February low last week, just posted their biggest jump three days in August FTSE 100 Index of Britain rebounded 5.1 percent from its low and is close to erasing his monthly loss. A paris indexes compiled by flow Oddschecker shows Brexit chance fell to 25.5 percent from 43 percent since June 14.
Less than 24 hours before the voting booths open, both sides the campaign are still assuming that it is all to play for, and appealing to emotion to the electorate. A record number of Brits, 46.5 million, were registered to vote, according to the Election Commission.
With different surveys each side before putting the BBC held a debate Tuesday night at Wembley Arena in London, where an audience of 6,000 cheered and booed as advocates to leave and stay in the block 28- nation opposite each other. The fiercest arguments were in the Conservative Party in power. The two former London Mayor Boris Johnson and Minister of Energy Andrea Leadsom, pleading for "Leave" faced by the party leader in Scotland, Ruth Davidson.
"You are being asked to make a decision that is irreversible, we can not change, we wake up on Friday and we do not like and we are sold on a lie, "said Davidson. "They lied about the cost of Europe, they lied about the entry of Turkey in Europe, they lied about the European army," she told the audience. "You deserve the truth."
Johnson urged the nation Thursday to "Independence Day of our country."
"They say we can not do that," he said. "We say we can. They say we have no choice but to bow to Brussels. We say they are terribly underestimate this country. "
The intra-conservative discord highlighted Cameron challenges faced unite his party, although" Stay "wins out. Sayeeda Warsi, a former party chairman, this week accused the secretary Michael Gove judge of spreading "lies" about the EU, the latest in a series of attacks increasingly personal exchanged by top conservatives during the campaign.
the "Let" camp had a message key in the TV debate - "take control." - and hammered home repeatedly "I'm passionate believer in immigration, but it has to be controlled," said Johnson
the. "Stay" side concentrated his fire on Johnson in particular.. his successor as mayor of the multicultural capital, Sadiq Khan labor, accused of running "Project Hate" on immigration
Cameron told Wednesday's edition of the Financial Times that the race was "very close - nobody knows what is going to happen. "
The campaign" Stay "emphasized his message of economic risks of a Brexit. The Times newspaper on Wednesday released a letter from 1285 business leaders who employ 1.75 million people, by saying "Britain leaving the EU would mean uncertainty for our businesses, less trade with Europe and fewer jobs."
Bloomberg
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